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Chip stocks' slide nears $5 trillion as Nvidia hits most extreme selling level since 2019
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Chip stocks’ slide nears $5 trillion as Nvidia hits most extreme selling level since 2019

It took five minutes for Tuesday’s hot inflation report to knock stocks lower, and Nvidia (NVDA) never recovered. The chipmaker hasn’t been sold this hard, this fast since 2019, but the typical S&P 500 stock finished the day flat. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed down about 0.4% Tuesday after an afternoon rebound, shedding about $250

It took five minutes for Tuesday’s hot inflation report to knock stocks lower, and Nvidia (NVDA) never recovered. The chipmaker hasn’t been sold this hard, this fast since 2019, but the typical S&P 500 stock finished the day flat.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed down about 0.4% Tuesday after an afternoon rebound, shedding about $250 billion in market value according to Yahoo Finance calculations. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (^SOX) also fell about 0.4%, while the equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP), which gives every company the same weight, finished flat.

Nvidia closed down about 6%, as the scandal surrounding CEO Jensen Huang drags on. Its relative strength index, a gauge of how fast and how far a stock has moved, sank to 24 out of a possible 100 — its most oversold reading since June 2019.

Read more: Nvidia stock drops as spy fiasco involving CEO Jensen Huang raises broader risk concerns

Memory makers Micron (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) and chip designer Arm (ARM) fell roughly 1% to 3%. AMD (AMD) and Broadcom (AVGO) rose, adding to Monday’s surge.

The longer view is starker. A Yahoo Finance basket of 62 chip stocks has lost nearly $5 trillion in market value since Oct. 6, roughly a quarter of its worth. That’s more than the roughly $2.7 trillion the entire S&P 500 has shed over the same stretch, even though the basket includes some companies outside the index.

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Tuesday’s trigger was a hotter-than-expected October consumer price index. S&P 500 futures fell about 0.5% in the five minutes after the 8:30 a.m. ET release, on volume many times the morning’s norm. Nasdaq 100 futures briefly erased their losses by 10 a.m., slid again, then recovered much of the damage in the afternoon.

Bonds felt it too. The 5-year Treasury yield (^FVX) posted its biggest one-day jump since September, and the 10-year (^TNX) briefly topped 5% as traders raised bets on a December rate hike.

BofA’s Savita Subramanian sees the bigger risk in the S&P 500 itself.

“We’re not particularly bullish on the index. I think the index itself is a bit risky,” the head of US equity and quantitative strategy at BofA Securities told Yahoo Finance on Tuesday. “What’s the most crowded equity ticker in the world? It’s the S&P index.”

The typical stock looks nothing like the index. The equal-weighted S&P 500 is up about 4% since Oct. 6 and closed at a record on Nov. 4.

Line chart of one-month returns for Nvidia, the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the equal-weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP). Nvidia and SOXX fall steeply from mid-October into November, while RSP drifts slightly higher.
Nvidia and chip stocks have slid over the past month while the typical S&P 500 stock has edged higher. · Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace

Some see Nvidia’s slide as a chance to buy. “I think if [CEO Jensen Huang] stays, then this is going to prove to be overdone. And you know this will be a strong buying opportunity,” Bernstein’s Stacy Rasgon said Monday on Yahoo Finance’s “Deirdre Bosa Live.”

Veteran trader Michael Martin isn’t convinced. “I don’t think these are buying opportunities. Everything is in a downtrend,” he told Yahoo Finance on Friday.

The Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) turned lower Monday right at its 200-day moving average, and the Cboe Volatility Index (^VIX) topped 21 Tuesday before settling back below 20, a level associated with expectations of higher-than-average volatility over the next month.

Nvidia reports quarterly results after the bell on Nov. 17, and Anthropic’s IPO could follow as soon as Nov. 19.

Subramanian isn’t giving up on the AI trade. “I think you want to stay long,” she said. “The idea that AI is not the metaverse. It’s going to continue.”

Internal AI tools helped analyze interview transcripts, research, and draft this post. Humans reviewed, edited, and fact-checked this post before publication.

Jared Blikre is the global markets and data editor for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @SPYJared or email him at [email protected].

Source: finance.yahoo.com

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